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阿根廷刚宣布“盈利”,国内就爆发全国罢工,到底谁“赚钱”了?_我的网站

名人面对面

A |     

本周二,阿根廷主流媒体报道称米莱政府准备发行新面值货币,7.7亿张10000面值(约合11美元)的比索正式开始流通;相比于之前最高面值为2000比索的货币,直接上调了5倍之多,且年底还要发行20000面额的比索。    BEIRUT -- Lebanon’s militant Hezbollah group said Monday it has started destroying surveillance cameras on several Israeli army posts along the border as tension rose following the Israel-Hamas war that began Oct.7.Hezbollah’s military media arm released a video showing snipers shooting at and destroying surveillance cameras placed on five points along the Lebanon-Israel border including one outside the Israeli town of Metula.The militant group appears to want to prevent the Israeli army from monitoring movements on the Lebanese side of the border after days of fire exchange that left at least seven people dead, including four Hezbollah fighters, on the Lebanese side.Since the Oct. 7, attack by the Palestinian militant Hamas group on southern Israel that killed more than 1,400 Israeli civilians and troops, tension has been on the rise along the Lebanon-Israel border. Hezbollah fighters fired anti-tank missiles on Israeli army positions and Israeli troops shelled border areas on the Lebanese side of the border.Israel and Hezbollah are bitter enemies that fought a monthlong war in the summer of 2006 that ended in a draw. Israel considers the Iran-backed Shiite militant group its most serious immediate threat, estimating that Hezbollah has some 150,000 rockets and missiles aimed at Israel.There are concerns that the powerful Iran-backed Hezbollah could join the war with Israel and earlier this month, President Joe Biden warned other players in the Middle East not to join the conflict and has sent American warships to the region and vowed full support for Israel.Hezbollah legislator Hassan Fadlallah said Sunday that the group is ready for all possibilities adding, “we don’t want to reveal what the next step is.” He said Hezbollah’s next step “is tied to what is going on in Gaza.”French Foreign Minister Catherine Colonna arrived in Beirut where she will meet officials to discuss border tensions.Lebanon’s caretaker Prime Minister Najib Mikati said the country’s politically-paralyzed government has been scrambling to ease tensions along its southern border with Israel and avoid dragging the tiny country into a new war.Earlier Monday, the Israeli military ordered people living in 28 communities near the Lebanese border to evacuate. The military order affects communities that are within 2 kilometers (1.2 miles) of the border.Hezbollah has said the increased strikes were a warning and don't mean the group has decided to go to war.The World Health Organization said Monday it has sent two shipments of medical supplies to Beirut in preparation for potential escalation along the Lebanon-Israel border.。至于为什么要超发大面额的货币,消息人士的解释是“有利于民众购买的便利”,也就是说买东西不用携带如此多的货币了。然而事实上很多阿根廷媒体猜测,此举是为了应对货币贬值和接下来有可能进行的更多贬值,顺便为国库增加财富和收入;从米莱上台后,比索的贬值达到54%,让原本就要携带成捆钱币花销的阿根廷人苦不堪言。
但一方面是“穷疯了”的阿根廷人,另一方面却是“小富”的政府。4月下旬米莱通过电视发表讲话,宣布2024年一季度实现财政盈余,创下2750亿比索(约合3.2亿美元)的收入。

B | 他称这些钱是“自由经济”政策下的盈利,阿根廷终于走入了新时代。但马萨领导的反对党却揭露米莱实则是在收割阿根廷人,所谓的盈利不过是用贬值货币压缩出口关税利润,加上超低的价格出卖国家能源、矿产和企业给外国公司,底层的民众失业率大涨。

果然在5月9日,阿根廷又爆发了蔓延全国的示威行动。全国数十万名工人自发停止工作、拒绝到岗和到街头拉标语来抗议米莱政府“倒行逆施”的政策,认为其让阿根廷陷入长期失业和贫困的危机。这些工人表示他们涨薪的幅度很低,但物价“每天都在变”,政府承诺的补贴、福利和减税更是一样都没有。更有甚者薪资甚至顾不上生活成本,或是被迫裁员,他们必须为自己争取权利。这些人中也有不少人一开始是支持米莱上台的,但他们现在显然“后悔”了。
分析人士表示,阿根廷总统兴高采烈地宣布“创收”,底层民众却表示“过不下去”,上台半年时间闹了两次全国大罢工,如此上下分离是有原因的。其一是政府3个月创收的3.5亿美元,米莱虽然保证会“花到每个民众身上”,但他们优先使还要用货币还债,剩下的分摊到4600万阿根廷人身上的也微不足道。其二是米莱的“收割货币”政策严重扰乱了基层市场,今年3月阿根廷制造业和建筑业出现了自新冠疫情大流行以来的最大跌幅,偏偏这两个行业也是底层民众生活的命脉产业,失去工作者沦为赤贫。

C | 其三也是根本的一点:阿根廷历史上没有进行过这种大幅度的“休克疗法”,经济执行有很多规则性问题难以寻找经验和前例。

D |

值得一提的还有,在全国大罢工的同一时期,阿根廷强大的工会组织正抵制米莱的改革努力,这一改革将降低公司的遣散费用,并进一步加强他的紧缩计划。对此有评论称:“现在开弓没有回头箭,政府除非把国家‘做强或者做烂’,否则没有其他选项的。马斯克等国外资本家们现在非常支持米莱推行下去,受益者显而易见。”

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Published on:19:16:16


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